The missing risk premium in exchange rates

نویسندگان

چکیده

We use a present-value model of the real exchange rate to impose structure on currency risk premium. allow premium depend both interest differential and latent component: missing Consistent with data, our implies that should predict returns. find premium, not differential, explains most variation in rate. Moreover, sheds light puzzling relations between rate,

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ژورنال

عنوان ژورنال: Journal of Financial Economics

سال: 2022

ISSN: ['1879-2774', '0304-405X']

DOI: https://doi.org/10.1016/j.jfineco.2021.07.001